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Inductis White Paper
Globalization Goes Upscale
Harnessing Analytics to Drive Decision-Making in the Insurance Industry
By Sandeep Tyagi ,David Kelso ,Arnab Dey
 

Abstract

Investing in customer data and analyzing customer behavior have helped companies across different industries improve their bottom-line significantly. However, this practice of data-driven decision making, while somewhat prevalent in the actuarial vertical of the insurance business is rare in the rest of the data rich insurance industry. In the early Nineties, Capital One revolutionized the credit card industry by building its entire business around informed intelligence- collecting customer-driven information, mining the data, and using predictive modeling techniques-to target distinct segments of the market with uniquely designed, relevant products. Other similar success stories include Wal-Mart, Best Buy and Harrah's-companies that have created repeated successes by investing time, resources, and establishing data-mining to better understand their customers' needs, and fulfilling them. In contrast, there has been little effort in the insurance industry to leverage the potential of customer information or of the data that it possesses.

We will outline significant areas of opportunity across the customer life-cycle for data mining and predictive modeling in the insurance industry (both Property and Casualty, and Health), and also detail a framework that will help business executives to make informed decisions.

The Power of Analytics

ANALYTICS AND INFORMATION-DRIVEN DECISIONING HAS allowed companies including Capital One, Wal-Mart, Best Buy, and Harrah's to re-write the rules of their industries and consistently generate superior bottomline results. An examination of these companies suggests some common themes:

End-to-End Value Creation: These companies have assessed the use of analytics across their entire business model and have focused on areas where maximum value can be captured. For example, some have used micro-segmentation of their customer prospect base and have tailored products to specifi c segments; while others have used analytics to weed out unprofi table customers; and some others have leveraged analytics to optimize their distribution and sales channel strategy.

Target with the Right Product at the Right Price Using the Right Channel: They have revised signifi cant parts of their business models and have been able to move beyond conventional industry practices in targeting, setting prices, product design or customer and channel management.

Executable Solutions:
They have ensured that the back-end "rocket science" analyses fi nally emerge as simple and actionable business decision rules that the front-line staff can execute upon.

Test and Learn Culture: They have created a fact-based, data-driven company culture by incorporating analytics in almost all decision making.

Company CapitalOne Wal-Mart Best Buy Harrah’s
Analytics Performed Micro-segmen-tation of
the credit-
cards
market
Data-driven mapping of customer behavior Monitoring the
perfor-mance of its sales agents
Review
of the pre-hurricane
sales patterns
in its Florida stores
Analysis
of its
customer base from
purcha-sing patterns
Mining
data on
customers
             
Learnings Cluttered market was
ripe for innovative
products
Common customer problems, prefer-ences, buying patterns Perfor-mance capabilities,
and
motivational
levels of the agents
Comfort foods were
most frequently
purcha-sed products,
apart from emerg-ency
goods
such as
flashlights
and batteries
20% of its 500m
customer base was
“undesirable.
The “whales” or big
spenders contri-buted to only 20% of
revenues
             
Actions
Enabled
Introduced the highly
successful “Balance
Transfer Program”
offering customers
low, introduc-tory
interest rates
Created a call-transfer
system that matches
customer’s number
to the customer’s
behavior map, and
transferred the call to
the best-suited service
agent
Tailor a customized
incentive plan for each
of its agents
Stocked the stores
with comfort foods
soon after the hurricanes
waned
Revised its
promotional
strategies and
product stocking in
stores to cater to the
“valuable” customer
base
Changed its loyalty
program to target
the “non-whales” and
tailored promo-tions to
suit intelligence gained
from studying the
spending patterns
             
Result High conversion ratios
in the
undiffer-entiated
credit card market
Increase in cross-selling
products to
customer based on
behavior maps
High retention
of the
agents in a market of
high attrition
Customers returned
to buy more comfort
foods
Lower
cost of
attaining “quality”
foot-fall within
stores
Higher share of the
gaming revenues, up
from 36 percent in ‘97
to 43 percent in ‘02.

 

ALL OF THESE COMPANIES COMPETE IN INDUSTRIES WHERE there is an abundance of customer-level transactional data. Considering insurance companies collect granular data on customers, policies and claims, there is a tremendous upside to investing in analytics: strong bottom-line improvements. This paper will outline a framework of effectively leveraging analytics. It will also address some of the concerns that insurers frequently raise:

  • Lack of extensive, horizontal data can render analytics nearly impossible for some companies such as those underwriting specialized commercial insurance risks (e.g., large amusement parks)The highly regulated nature of setting prices
    may provide little or no pricing fl exibility
  • Lack of clarity and information about the customer may limit availability of data (for example, in the health insurance segment, the end customer can be the member, the company or the broker)
  • Actuaries have already built time-tested pricing models by applying sophisticated statistical tools. Incremental benefi t from additional analysis is not clear
Inductis Case Study 1:

For a Top 5 health insurer, Inductis created an analytical engine for end-to-end strategic marketing decision support. A thorough analysis of the customer lifecycle revealed that the key focus area should be customer retention, as the company was losing millions of customers every year. By mining through 12 months of history for 19 million customers, Inductis identifi ed the characteristics of members who were unlikely to renew their contracts. We then built predictive models to estimate the likelihood of a member renewing its contract 9 to 12 months prior to the actual renewal date, along with the drivers of this renewal behavior. These models helped the carrier develop a targeted marketing plan to preempt the customer from shopping elsewhere and generate over $25m in annual pre-tax income.

Inductis Case Study 2:

For a Commercial General Liability line of a large commercial insurer, Inductis was able to demonstrate a 10% lift in predicting loss ratio by appending external commercial credit bureau data.

Analytics in Insurance


Today BEFORE WE TRY TO UNDERSTAND THE FRAMEWORK, IT IS important to remember that analytics is not a new concept to the insurance industry. Actuaries have been using analytics for a long time to underwrite and price policies. For example, underwriting an auto insurance policy requires the actuary to predict the underwriting losses based on a set of attributes of the person and the car (car model and make, age, gender, location of insured), and then to quantify this risk.

Property and Casualty

A few early adopters have been investing heavily in implementing data mining and predictive modeling in both their personal and commercial lines. Progressive was one of the fi rst adopters to apply risk-based pricing to personal auto insurance underwriting in the mid-1990s. Using credit scoringbased applications to determine the risk level and associated pricing for both its personal and commercial products, Progressive was a pioneer in offering tiered pricing structures for different customer segments. It also believes that there is an opportunity to reduce fraud through data correlation techniques.

Safeco and The Hartford have also begun data mining for pricing their small commercial lines. In early 2003, Safeco rolled out its fi rst automated small commercial underwriting model and plans to implement similar models for business owners,commercial auto, and workers' compensation lines. The models have been developed in-house to create proprietary correlations between its data and client fi nancial data. Safeco's Combined Ratio has improved by 12.4 points in the fi rst half of 2004 over the same period in 2003 (Safeco's executives would attribute this improvement to their use of analytics in addition to the fact that they witnessed a hard pricing market). The Hartford has used data mining techniques to develop scoring models for small ($1,000 to $10,000 policy size) and mid-market commercial lines. It has found that a strong correlation exists between scoring models and profi tability for small commercial lines. This is refl ected to a signifi cant degree in its 26% growth in premium, during the second quarter of 2004, despite softer market conditions.


Similarly, the re-insurance sector has seen a rise in analytically driven catastrophe modeling, which has resulted in the expansion of the Bermuda reinsurance market and provided a fl oor to catastrophe pricing over the past several years.

Health

Ingenix, a subsidiary of United Health insurance, is creating data assets for other health insurers. It houses more than 6 billion health records of 220 million individuals from across the industry. The data collected includes claims, billing data, fraud incidents and prescription history information. Ingenix makes this data anonymous and integrates it in a protected data warehouse. A health insurer can use this data, in conjunction with its internal data, for benchmarking analytics, fraud detection and recovery, claims coding and billing and compliance.
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