Focus Areas

Focus Areas

Analytics Consulting Identifies Missing Revenue
Overview: In order to understand why revenues were dropping in one business line, a large business services company turned to Analytics.

Analytics is the discipline of accessing and analyzing significant (but typically difficult-to-handle) data from multiple sources in order to understand historical performance or behavior, or to predict a particular outcome. In so doing, the data is converted into knowledge that enhances an organization's ability to make effective business decisions.
 
Situation
A global $1 billion business services company was facing consistently declining income in a line of business that accounted for more than 60 percent of U.S. revenue. There was no obvious reason for the drop-off that had begun with the new fiscal year. Among the company's senior executives, there was a range of opinions as to the reason for the decline.

While the economy was an obvious scapegoat, the sales force blamed the product group for introducing new lower priced products that were cannibalizing the revenue from high-priced older products; the product group blamed the sales force for not acquiring enough new contracts; and both blamed the technology group for failing to develop appealing product features already adopted by the competition.

The company had the information needed to find the answer for solving the problem. But getting to the right data was not a straightforward matter. As in most large organizations, a significant amount of valuable information resided in separate systems. Transaction level details were stored in several discrete legacy databases, one for telesales, others for web-based sales, third-party sales, and the like, as well as the accounting general ledger. Information accumulated at the rate of 4.5GB of raw data every month. Staff tried to aggregate this transaction-level information in order to explain the revenue drop-off. However, given the complexity, traditional data collection tools proved inadequate. The presence of irrelevant data and exceptions further complicated the effort. No clear viewpoint emerged; in fact, the limited evidence was contradictory.

 
Applying Analytics
Three months into the fiscal year -- with continuing disappointing results and an earnings release looming -- the company asked Inductis to examine the problem. In initial interviews with management, it became apparent that the insights of individual team members in the company were colored by their individual biases and that there was no way to reach a plan of action that everyone would buy into given the existing level of understanding.

Inductis set out to collate and analyze transaction-level data from various legacy databases, including the general ledger, and discrete databases for each sales channel. Next, the team formulated the "usual suspect explanations" as hypotheses to be statistically tested.

 
Discovery
After working through the hypotheses, Inductis concluded that the revenue decline was largely a mirage. More than 55% was due to a change in the way revenue had been allocated among business lines. The classification change actually had been implemented by an outsourced technology contractor. This had occurred during a fast-turnaround IT project towards the end of the prior fiscal year. Moreover, the contractor had not fully documented the change, which was therefore overlooked by accounting and business line management. The next largest component was revenue that had not been realized because a handful of large customers in certain segments had been subject to severe economic difficulties and, in some cases, bankruptcies. Finally, a recently introduced, lower-priced web-based product-line, aggressively promoted by the field sales force, was cannibalizing its higher-priced equivalent.
 
Bottom Line Results
As a result of the analysis and collation of detailed customer segment/product segment information, everyone was able to reach the same conclusion about the relative contribution of each factor. (Of course, it required a couple of iterations to assure everyone that the analysis had taken into account all the relevant data sources.) Once there was agreement on the causes of decline, the recommendations for action were straightforward. Over the next 6 months as the recommendations were implemented, business line revenue rose by nearly 8%, reversing a business-as-usual declining trend of 4%.

Ultimately, Inductis' strategies gave the CFO a positive story for Wall Street: a steady recovery in revenue despite the economic downturn. And, the finger-pointing among product groups, technology and sales came to an amicable end.

 
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